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Prediction markets

14 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman98%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang98%9 more
$642KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest
3rd hottest58%
1st hottest
1st hottest32%2 more
$18KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC43%
1.15–1.19ºC43%4 more
$7.3KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

400-425mm
400-425mm24%
575-600mm18%8 more
$3.6KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

60-70mm
60-70mm37%
70-80mm
70-80mm28%5 more
$2.3KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3162%
December 31
December 3153%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"40%
3-4"
3-4"28%4 more
$1.9KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+98%
90-100mm2%6 more
$6.1KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
48%YesNo
1
34%YesNo
NEW $396.62Vol. Jul 19science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
29%YesNo
7
14%YesNo
NEW $360.84Vol. Jul 19science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$119KVol. Mar 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science